• Sport:Hestesport
  • Liga:Lexus Melbourne Cup
  • Kamp / utøvere:Twilight Payment Finche Surprise Baby Ashrun Tiger Moth
  • Tips/ utfall:Vinner
  • Spillestopp:03.11.2020 05:00
  • Odds før kurtasje:2.70
  • Kurtasje %:2
  • Odds etter kurtasje:2.67
  • Innsats:3.39
  • Selskap:Andre/Other

 

Bookmaker Betfair

Premiebeløp til vinner: £2,430,939
Antall hester i løpet :24
Distanse :2M
Underlag:Turf
Forhold: Good to Soft
Handikapløp:Ja
Klasse:Group 1
Alder:3yo+

Melbourne Cup  – the race that stops a nation.  Kl 5:00 i natt starter Melbourne Cup på galoppbanen Flemington. Det er det største galoppløp i Australia og løpet går over hele 3200 m  på gress. Hele 24 hester til start i årets utgave.

I 2011 satt jeg vinner i det løpet, Dunaden som slo Red Cadeaux så vidt det var. Et fantastisk løp hvor det måtte målfoto til for å kåre vinneren.
I 2019 tippet jeg plassspill på vinneren Vow And Declare. Vow And Declare gjør et fantastisk løp og ser slått ut et par ganger da han blir passert men svar opp og vinner løpet. Vow And Declare er med i år også men ikke i samme form og jeg velger også en annen spilleform til årets løp.
Et duchet vinnerspill med fem hester:
Spill nr Odds Innsats Gevinst
Twilight Payment 30 0,30 9,14
Finche 21 0,44 9,14
Surprise Baby 8,8 1,04 9,14
Ashrun 30 0,30 9,14
Tiger Moth 7 1,31 9,14

Racing Post

Ashrun 
Got into this having won Saturday; good chance but some might be fresher

Finche
Having his third start in the race and after a fourth in 2018 and seventh in 2019


Surprise Baby 
Big eyecatcher in this last year and looked primed to go even closer in this running

Tiger Moth
Lightly raced 3yo with potentially plenty more to come; obvious chance even from wide draw

Twilight Payment 
Seems improved this campaign, but vulnerable to something less exposed
Racing Post tror mest på:
It’s very easy to be swayed towards the claims of TIGER MOTH .That said, he only narrowly gets the vote ahead of Surprise Baby

Timeform analyse:

Race Analysis

TIGER MOTH (21) draws right out and that may trick things up but it gives them options with him and he looks sure to relish going to two miles now in a race that he has been targeted towards by the world’s leading stable. Big run in the Irish Derby at just his third start and then won a really competitive Group 3 last time to lock up a spot here. Profiles like the one they have to beat.

SIR DRAGONET (5) got better the further they went in the Cox Plate. Won a test of stamina there and rating gives him a massive look here if he can take it to two miles.

RUSSIAN CAMELOT (15) comes off the same race with a great chance. Still on the up and a terrific talent.

VERRY ELLEEGANT (7) starred at Caulfield. Grand mare that would love some rain.

ASHRUN (18) may get too far back but he stays powerfully. Look for him storming at the line late on.

Black
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